How to Calculate Your Coast FIRE Number (and Real People Whose Money Kept Growing)
5 min read · RealCase
Coast FIRE means you've invested enough that, even with no more large contributions, compound growth should carry your portfolio to a full retirement number by the time you need it. You keep working to cover today's bills; the retirement account takes care of itself. Calculating it takes two steps.
Step 1: Your full FIRE number
Grant Sabatier, who reached financial independence at 30, told CNBC Make It the standard shortcut: multiply your expected annual spending by 25. Spending $40,000 a year means a $1 million target. That comes from the 4% rule; more cautious research suggests withdrawal rates closer to 3.3%, which would push the same $40,000 of spending to about $1.2 million.
Step 2: Work backward to today
Your Coast FIRE number is the amount that grows into that target on its own. Divide the full number by the growth you expect over the years left — for example, at a 7% real return, money roughly doubles every 10 years, so $1 million needed in 30 years means about $130,000 invested today. Whatever you assume, the real-world stories below show the engine you're relying on: time.
Real investors who let compounding do the work
She maxed out an IRA and a 403(b) from her twenties and retired a millionaire at 55 →↗She started her 401(k) at $8 an hour as a single mom — 36 years later it hit $1 million →↗$2,000 invested in 1997 grew into $1 million over 21 years →↗$50,000 left untouched in an index fund became $75,000 in five years →↗Nine years of heavy investing let a software engineer retire at 30 →↗The earlier money goes in, the smaller your Coast FIRE number gets — which is why the stories with the biggest results started in their twenties. Every story links to its original source.